Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cassis - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday


	Mathieu Scaglia		Amit Vales

	1	2
			Watch
	3.40	1.26
	3.35	1.28
	3.52	1.30
	3.2	1.3	Watch
	3.45	1.28
	3.25	1.30	Watch
	3.20	1.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (2.9)	1.29 ↓ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mathieu Scaglia
27.8%

Amit Vales
72.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

66.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathieu Scaglia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Amit Vales has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathieu Scaglia than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mathieu Scaglia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amit Vales than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Amit Vales, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mathieu Scaglia - Amit Vales Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Scaglia is ranked ATP: 979. Vales is ranked ATP: 598.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Scaglia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Vales is the team to beat.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathieu Scaglia
ITF Tournaments
28.08.26	Mathieu Scaglia - Pierre Delage	1:2 ✺
27.08.26	Mathieu Scaglia - Jaume Casas Blasi	2:1 ✺
25.08.26	Mathieu Scaglia - Nazim Makhlouf	2:1 ✺
21.08.26	Pavel Lagutin - Mathieu Scaglia	2:1 ✺
20.08.26	Abdulhamid Mubarak - Mathieu Scaglia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWLW
- Amit Vales
ATP Challenger
31.08.26	Amit Vales - Ignacio Parisca	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	Amit Vales - Vardan Manukyan	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.08.26	Amit Vales - Oskari Paldanius	1:2 ✺
14.08.26	Arvid Nordquist - Amit Vales	1:2 ✺
13.08.26	Amit Vales - Demetris Azoides	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLWW

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