Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Stuttgart, grass - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 June 2026, Friday


	Jiri Lehecka		Francis Tiafoe

	1	2
	1.73	2.10	Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.74	2.08	Watch
	1.79	2.15
	1.64	2.25	Watch
	1.73	2.10	Watch
	1.74	2.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.65)	2.12 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 25.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jiri Lehecka
55.1%

Francis Tiafoe
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jiri Lehecka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jiri Lehecka than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jiri Lehecka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Francis Tiafoe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	0%	18.7%

Jiri Lehecka - Francis Tiafoe Predictions

Users Predictions: Jiri Lehecka will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lehecka is ranked ATP: 12. Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 26.

Recent performances by Lehecka have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tiafoe is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tiafoe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Lehecka won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Jiri Lehecka - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 57.78%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Francis Tiafoe - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 42.22%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiri Lehecka
ATP Stuttgart
11.06.26	Jiri Lehecka - James Duckworth	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.26	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Jiri Lehecka	3:0 ✺
ATP Roma
10.05.26	Casper Ruud - Jiri Lehecka	2:0 ✺
08.05.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Jiri Lehecka	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
29.04.26	Arthur Fils - Jiri Lehecka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLWL
- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Stuttgart
11.06.26	Rinky Hijikata - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
09.06.26	Daniel Altmaier - Francis Tiafoe	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
01.06.26	Francis Tiafoe - Matteo Arnaldi	2:3 ✺
30.05.26	Jaime Faria - Francis Tiafoe	2:3 ✺
28.05.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Francis Tiafoe	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Davis Cup World Group
12.09.25	Francis Tiafoe - Jiri Lehecka	0:2
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.24	Francis Tiafoe - Jiri Lehecka	2:1
ATP Stuttgart
14.06.23	Jiri Lehecka - Francis Tiafoe	0:2
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.23	Jiri Lehecka - Francis Tiafoe	Canceled

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