Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montpellier, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 February 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Luca Nardi		Flavio Cobolli

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.05	1.65
	2.13	1.78
	2.05	1.74	Watch
	2	1.8
	2.13	1.72	Watch
	2.07	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.26)	1.73 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Luca Nardi
45.5%

Flavio Cobolli
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Nardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Flavio Cobolli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luca Nardi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flavio Cobolli than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Flavio Cobolli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Luca Nardi - Flavio Cobolli Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Nardi will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Cobolli will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nardi: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Nardi (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Cobolli (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Nardi (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 22 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Nardi (votes: 2 - 50%). Cobolli (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Nardi is ranked ATP: 106. Cobolli is ranked ATP: 20.

Nardi is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cobolli has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cobolli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Nardi won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Luca Nardi - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 41.05%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Nardi
ATP Montpellier
04.02.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.02.26	Luca Nardi - Kyrian Jacquet	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Luca Nardi - Otto Virtanen	2:0 ✺
30.01.26	Ugo Blanchet - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
29.01.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWWW
- Flavio Cobolli
ATP Australian Open
17.01.26	Arthur Fery - Flavio Cobolli	3:0 ✺
Exhibition Kooyong Men
14.01.26	Flavio Cobolli - Alexander Zverev	Canceled ✺
ATP United Cup
05.01.26	Flavio Cobolli - Arthur Rinderknech	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Flavio Cobolli - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:1 ✺
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
28.12.25	Flavio Cobolli - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 L?LWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roma
08.05.25	Luca Nardi - Flavio Cobolli	2:0
ATP Auckland
06.01.25	Luca Nardi - Flavio Cobolli	Cobolli F. retired
ATP Next Gen Finals
30.11.23	Flavio Cobolli - Luca Nardi	2:3
ATP Umag
22.07.23	Flavio Cobolli - Luca Nardi	2:0

Luca Nardi - Flavio Cobolli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide