Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Reus, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday


	Florent Bax		Joao Domingues

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.55	2.48
	1.52	2.34	Watch
	1.57	2.2
	1.56	2.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.56)	2.32 ↑ (2.22)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Florent Bax
60%

Joao Domingues
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Florent Bax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Joao Domingues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Florent Bax than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Domingues than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Florent Bax - Joao Domingues Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bax is ranked ATP: 273. Domingues is ranked ATP: 873.

Now, both players are in good form.

Domingues may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Joao Domingues - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.27%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Florent Bax
ITF Tournaments
02.04.26	Florent Bax - Michiel De Krom	2:0 ✺
01.04.26	Florent Bax - Hugo Ruiz Rodriguez	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Florent Bax - Rawat Sidharth	1:2 ✺
20.03.26	Florent Bax - Mukund Sasikumar	2:1 ✺
19.03.26	Florent Bax - Manish Sureshkumar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWW
- Joao Domingues
ITF Tournaments
02.04.26	Joao Domingues - Oriol Roca Batalla	2:1 ✺
01.04.26	Joao Domingues - Alexander Tokar	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Justin Boulais - Joao Domingues	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Michele Ribecai - Joao Domingues	0:2 ✺
06.03.26	Joao Domingues - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WWLWW

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