Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Faro, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday


	Joao Domingues		Federico Arnaboldi

	1	2
			Watch
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.29	1.64
	1.51	2.36	Watch
	2.2	1.57
	2.25	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.23)	1.75 ↑ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Domingues
45.5%

Federico Arnaboldi
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Domingues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Federico Arnaboldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Domingues than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joao Domingues that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Federico Arnaboldi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Joao Domingues - Federico Arnaboldi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Domingues is ranked ATP: 1096. Arnaboldi is ranked ATP: 385.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Arnaboldi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Arnaboldi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Domingues
ITF Tournaments
05.03.26	Joao Domingues - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	Oleksii Krutykh - Joao Domingues	1:2 ✺
26.02.26	Joao Domingues - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
24.02.26	Tim Handel - Joao Domingues	0:2 ✺
18.02.26	Tiago Pereira - Joao Domingues	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLWL
- Federico Arnaboldi
ITF Tournaments
05.03.26	Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez - Federico Arnaboldi	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Oscar Weightman - Federico Arnaboldi	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.02.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Alex Knaff	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.02.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Marvin Moeller	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Gabriele Crivellaro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLLW

Joao Domingues - Federico Arnaboldi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide