Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nonthaburi 2, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 15 January 2026, Thursday


	Florent Bax		Timofey Skatov

	1	2
	4	1.22	Watch
	3.7	1.24	Watch
	5.53	1.12	Watch
	3.5	1.29
	3.49	1.26	Watch
	3.66	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↑ (2.9)	1.23 ↓ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Florent Bax
23.6%

Timofey Skatov
76.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

62.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Florent Bax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Florent Bax's form might have worsened.

Timofey Skatov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Timofey Skatov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Florent Bax than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Florent Bax, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Timofey Skatov than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Timofey Skatov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Florent Bax - Timofey Skatov Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bax will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Skatov will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bax is ranked ATP: 288. Skatov is ranked ATP: 195.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Skatov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Skatov is a strong favorite.

We predict that Skatov will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Florent Bax
ATP Challenger
13.01.26	Beibit Zhukayev - Florent Bax	0:2 ✺
12.01.26	Andre Ilagan - Florent Bax	0:2 ✺
07.01.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Florent Bax	2:1 ✺
06.01.26	Hyeon Chung - Florent Bax	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.12.25	Florent Bax - Chen Dong	Bax F. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWLW?
- Timofey Skatov
ATP Challenger
14.01.26	Kasidit Samrej - Timofey Skatov	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	Duje Ajdukovic - Timofey Skatov	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
09.01.26	Timofey Skatov - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
08.01.26	Timofey Skatov - Jonas Forejtek	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWLWW

Florent Bax - Timofey Skatov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide