Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Lisboa, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday


	Francesca Curmi		Alice Rame

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.19	1.63
	1.18	4.21	Watch
	2.04	1.69	Watch
	2	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2)	2.32 ↑ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesca Curmi
55.5%

Alice Rame
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesca Curmi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francesca Curmi's performance.

Alice Rame has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alice Rame might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesca Curmi than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francesca Curmi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alice Rame than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alice Rame could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Francesca Curmi - Alice Rame Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Curmi is ranked WTA: 321. Rame is ranked WTA: 263.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Rame may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesca Curmi
ATP Challenger
16.09.25	Tatiana Pieri - Francesca Curmi	Curmi F. retired ✺
15.09.25	Francesca Curmi - Verena Meliss	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Francesca Curmi - Angelica Raggi	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Carson Branstine - Francesca Curmi	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Enola Chiesa - Francesca Curmi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 ?WWLW
- Alice Rame
ATP Challenger
19.09.25	Silvia Ambrosio - Alice Rame	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Alice Rame - Anouk Koevermans	Koevermans A. retired ✺
15.09.25	Noemi Basiletti - Alice Rame	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.09.25	Alice Rame - Lilli Tagger	0:2 ✺
04.09.25	Radka Zelnickova - Alice Rame	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 L?WLW

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