Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Palermo, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 July 2026, Tuesday


	Francesca Jones		Darya Astakhova

	1	2
	1.29	3.50	Watch
	1.28	3.50
	1.27	3.40
	1.30	3.80
	1.29	3.2	Watch
	1.27	3.35
	1.26	3.49	Watch
	1.29	3.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.3)	3.44 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesca Jones
72.9%

Darya Astakhova
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesca Jones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Darya Astakhova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesca Jones than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darya Astakhova than the current prediction. (+5%)

Francesca Jones - Darya Astakhova Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Astakhova (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Astakhova (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Jones is ranked WTA: 123. Astakhova is ranked WTA: 233.

Jones is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Astakhova has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Astakhova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Jones is considered a favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesca Jones
ATP Challenger
19.07.26	Francesca Jones - Lucia Bronzetti	2:0 ✺
18.07.26	Martina Trevisan - Francesca Jones	1:2 ✺
17.07.26	Francesca Jones - Noma Akugue Noha	2:0 ✺
15.07.26	Francesca Jones - Federica Urgesi	2:1 ✺
13.07.26	Francesca Jones - Dalila Spiteri	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWW
- Darya Astakhova
ATP Challenger
15.07.26	Darya Astakhova - Noma Akugue Noha	1:2 ✺
13.07.26	Kajsa Rinaldo Persson - Darya Astakhova	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.07.26	Dalila Jakupovic - Darya Astakhova	2:0 ✺
07.07.26	Xinxin Yao - Darya Astakhova	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.06.26	Darya Astakhova - Luisina Giovannini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLWL

Francesca Jones - Darya Astakhova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide