Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Rome, clay - Final

Date: 19 July 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Super Tennis


	Francesca Jones		Lucia Bronzetti

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.18
	1.62	2.16	Watch
	1.7	2.27
	1.64	2.19	Watch
	1.68	2.2
	1.67	2.26	Watch
	1.62	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.87)	2.2 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Francesca Jones
57.1%

Lucia Bronzetti
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesca Jones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francesca Jones's performance.

Lucia Bronzetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lucia Bronzetti might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesca Jones than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francesca Jones that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucia Bronzetti than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lucia Bronzetti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.5%	0%	89.5%

Francesca Jones - Lucia Bronzetti Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bronzetti (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Lucia Bronzetti will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Jones is ranked WTA: 123. Bronzetti is ranked WTA: 139.

Now, both players are in good form.

Bronzetti may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jones won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Lucia Bronzetti - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesca Jones
ATP Challenger
18.07.26	Martina Trevisan - Francesca Jones	1:2 ✺
17.07.26	Francesca Jones - Noma Akugue Noha	2:0 ✺
15.07.26	Francesca Jones - Federica Urgesi	2:1 ✺
13.07.26	Francesca Jones - Dalila Spiteri	2:1 ✺
09.07.26	Francesca Jones - Leolia Jeanjean	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWWL
- Lucia Bronzetti
ATP Challenger
18.07.26	Lucia Bronzetti - Nuria Brancaccio	2:1 ✺
17.07.26	Deborah Chiesa - Lucia Bronzetti	1:2 ✺
16.07.26	Teodora Kostovic - Lucia Bronzetti	0:2 ✺
14.07.26	Alessandra Mazzola - Lucia Bronzetti	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.07.26	Lucia Bronzetti - Anastasiya Soboleva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
30.04.26	Lucia Bronzetti - Francesca Jones	1:2

Francesca Jones - Lucia Bronzetti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide