Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Palermo, clay - Final

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday


	Francesca Jones		Fiona Ferro

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.91	1.85
	1.87	1.83	Watch
	2.01	1.89
	1.86	1.84	Watch
	1.99	1.84
	1.91	1.84	Watch
	1.87	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.78)	1.84 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesca Jones
49.2%

Fiona Ferro
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesca Jones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Fiona Ferro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesca Jones than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiona Ferro than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	0%	41.7%

Francesca Jones - Fiona Ferro Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Jones will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Ferro will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jones: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Jones (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Ferro (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Jones is ranked WTA: 113. Ferro is ranked WTA: 191.

Jones is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Ferro is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Jones may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Jones will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesca Jones
ATP Challenger
25.07.26	Francesca Jones - Alevtina Ibragimova	2:0 ✺
24.07.26	Francesca Jones - Jennifer Ruggeri	2:1 ✺
23.07.26	Francesca Jones - Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	2:0 ✺
21.07.26	Francesca Jones - Darya Astakhova	2:0 ✺
19.07.26	Francesca Jones - Lucia Bronzetti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWW
- Fiona Ferro
ATP Challenger
25.07.26	Fiona Ferro - Lucia Bronzetti	2:0 ✺
24.07.26	Fiona Ferro - Mina Hodzic	2:0 ✺
22.07.26	Fiona Ferro - Erika Andreeva	2:0 ✺
20.07.26	Fiona Ferro - Yufei Ren	2:0 ✺
14.07.26	Fiona Ferro - Aurora Zantedeschi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWL

Francesca Jones - Fiona Ferro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide