Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Palermo, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 July 2026, Friday


	Francesca Jones		Jennifer Ruggeri

	1	2
	1.20	4.33	Watch
	1.21	4.33
	1.24	3.90	Watch
	1.24	4.49
	1.17	4.45	Watch
	1.22	4.15
	1.21	3.98	Watch
	1.16	4.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.33)	4.27 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 19.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Francesca Jones
78%

Jennifer Ruggeri
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.4%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesca Jones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francesca Jones's performance.

Jennifer Ruggeri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jennifer Ruggeri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesca Jones than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francesca Jones that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jennifer Ruggeri than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jennifer Ruggeri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Francesca Jones - Jennifer Ruggeri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Jones is ranked WTA: 113. Ruggeri is ranked WTA: 221.

Jones has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Ruggeri's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ruggeri may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Jones is a strong favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Jennifer Ruggeri - the odds 3.01 are the expected chance of winning is 30.64%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesca Jones
ATP Challenger
23.07.26	Francesca Jones - Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	2:0 ✺
21.07.26	Francesca Jones - Darya Astakhova	2:0 ✺
19.07.26	Francesca Jones - Lucia Bronzetti	2:0 ✺
18.07.26	Martina Trevisan - Francesca Jones	1:2 ✺
17.07.26	Francesca Jones - Noma Akugue Noha	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWW
- Jennifer Ruggeri
ATP Challenger
22.07.26	Jennifer Ruggeri - Lola Radivojevic	2:1 ✺
20.07.26	Amarissa Kiara Toth - Jennifer Ruggeri	1:2 ✺
14.07.26	Teodora Kostovic - Jennifer Ruggeri	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.07.26	Anouck Vrancken Peeters - Jennifer Ruggeri	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.06.26	Jennifer Ruggeri - Mayar Sherif	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLLL

Upcoming Matches