Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Indian Wells - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday


	Darja Semenistaja		Kayla Day

	1	2
			Watch
	1.91	1.83
	1.82	1.88	Watch
	1.95	1.9
	1.88	1.88	Watch
	1.91	1.91
	1.83	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.83)	1.88 ↓ (1.89)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darja Semenistaja
49.9%

Kayla Day
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darja Semenistaja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Kayla Day has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darja Semenistaja than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kayla Day than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Darja Semenistaja - Kayla Day Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Semenistaja will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Day will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Day: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Semenistaja (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Day (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Semenistaja is ranked WTA: 97. Day is ranked WTA: 185.

Semenistaja is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Day has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Semenistaja may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darja Semenistaja
WTA Indian Wells
01.03.26	Darja Semenistaja - Whitney Osuigwe	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.02.26	Darja Semenistaja - Aliona Bolsova Zadoinov	Semenistaja D. retired ✺
06.02.26	Lilli Tagger - Darja Semenistaja	2:1 ✺
04.02.26	Mai Hontama - Darja Semenistaja	0:2 ✺
03.02.26	Diletta Cherubini - Darja Semenistaja	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 W?LWW
- Kayla Day
WTA Indian Wells
01.03.26	Kayla Day - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	2:0 ✺
WTA Austin
21.02.26	Madison Brengle - Kayla Day	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.02.26	Anna Frey - Kayla Day	2:1 ✺
17.02.26	Elizabeth Coleman - Kayla Day	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.02.26	Kayla Day - Katrina Scott	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLLWW

Darja Semenistaja - Kayla Day: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide