Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Iasi, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 July 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Romania	Digi Sport 2


	Francesco Maestrelli		Elmer Moller

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.7	1.4	Watch
	2.45	1.47	Watch
	2.73	1.48
			Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.56	1.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.41)	1.45 ↓ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Francesco Maestrelli
35.7%

Elmer Moller
64.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

61.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

62%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Maestrelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Elmer Moller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elmer Moller than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Francesco Maestrelli - Elmer Moller Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 237. Moller is ranked ATP: 117.

Maestrelli has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Moller's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Moller may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Moller will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Maestrelli will win today's game, with odds of 2.75.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Challenger
10.07.25	Filip Cristian Jianu - Francesco Maestrelli	1:2 ✺
08.07.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:1 ✺
06.07.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Luka Pavlovic	2:0 ✺
05.07.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Tom Paris	2:0 ✺
04.07.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Marko Topo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWWW
- Elmer Moller
ATP Challenger
10.07.25	Oriol Roca Batalla - Elmer Moller	0:2 ✺
08.07.25	Daniel Rincon - Elmer Moller	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.25	Elmer Moller - Francis Tiafoe	0:3 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.06.25	Yu Hsiou Hsu - Elmer Moller	2:0 ✺
03.06.25	Elmer Moller - Guy Den Ouden	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WWLLL

Upcoming Matches