Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Iasi, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 July 2025, Tuesday


	Francesco Maestrelli		Pablo Llamas Ruiz

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	1.95	1.75	Watch
	2.15	1.62	Watch
	2	1.84
			Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.08	1.7	Watch
	2.18	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.18)	1.7 ↑ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Maestrelli
44.9%

Pablo Llamas Ruiz
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Maestrelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Pablo Llamas Ruiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Llamas Ruiz than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Francesco Maestrelli - Pablo Llamas Ruiz Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Llamas Ruiz (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Francesco Maestrelli will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Francesco Maestrelli will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Maestrelli (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Llamas Ruiz (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 237. Llamas Ruiz is ranked ATP: 573.

Maestrelli is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Llamas Ruiz has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Maestrelli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Maestrelli will win today's game, with odds of 2.15.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Challenger
06.07.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Luka Pavlovic	2:0 ✺
05.07.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Tom Paris	2:0 ✺
04.07.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Marko Topo	2:1 ✺
03.07.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Alexander Donski	2:0 ✺
01.07.25	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Francesco Maestrelli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWWW
- Pablo Llamas Ruiz
ATP Wimbledon
23.06.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.06.25	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Julio Cesar Porras	0:2 ✺
03.06.25	Javier Barranco Cosano - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.25	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:3 ✺
22.05.25	Vilius Gaubas - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWLW

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