Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Iasi, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 July 2025, Tuesday


	Daniel Rincon		Elmer Moller

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.6	1.44	Watch
	2.7	1.41	Watch
	2.8	1.45
			Watch
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.73	1.42	Watch
	3.13	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (3.15)	1.41 ↑ (1.32)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Rincon
33.8%

Elmer Moller
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

70.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

65.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Rincon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Elmer Moller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Rincon than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elmer Moller than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Daniel Rincon - Elmer Moller Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Rincon will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Moller will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rincon is ranked ATP: 203. Moller is ranked ATP: 117.

Rincon has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Moller is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Rincon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Moller is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Rincon
ATP Wimbledon
23.06.25	Daniel Rincon - Ugo Blanchet	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.06.25	Daniel Rincon - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	0:2 ✺
18.06.25	Lukas Neumayer - Daniel Rincon	1:2 ✺
17.06.25	Daniel Rincon - Marco Cecchinato	2:1 ✺
17.06.25	Daniel Rincon - Nerman Fatic	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLWW?
- Elmer Moller
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.25	Elmer Moller - Francis Tiafoe	0:3 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.06.25	Yu Hsiou Hsu - Elmer Moller	2:0 ✺
03.06.25	Elmer Moller - Guy Den Ouden	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.25	Elmer Moller - Tommy Paul	1:3 ✺
22.05.25	Elmer Moller - Matteo Gigante	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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