Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 August 2025, Monday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Francesco Maestrelli		James McCabe

	1	2
	1.62	2.2
	2.3	1.57
	1.64	2.2
	1.6	2.38
	1.79	1.98	Watch
	2.25	1.57
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.25)	1.98 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Maestrelli
51.5%

James McCabe
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

61.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Maestrelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francesco Maestrelli's performance.

James McCabe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and James McCabe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francesco Maestrelli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for James McCabe than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that James McCabe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Francesco Maestrelli - James McCabe Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Maestrelli will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). McCabe will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. McCabe (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 158. McCabe is ranked ATP: 167.

In recent matches, Maestrelli has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

McCabe is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Maestrelli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Challenger
08.08.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Dino Prizmic	0:2 ✺
06.08.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Justin Engel	2:0 ✺
05.08.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Maximus Jones	2:0 ✺
03.08.25	Moez Echargui - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWLW
- James McCabe
ATP Challenger
14.08.25	James McCabe - Lukas Klein	0:2 ✺
13.08.25	James McCabe - Jacob Fearnley	Fearnley J. retired ✺
ATP Washington
19.07.25	Beibit Zhukayev - James McCabe	2:1 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
16.07.25	James McCabe - Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.07.25	Tristan Schoolkate - James McCabe	McCabe J. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 L?LL?

Francesco Maestrelli - James McCabe: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide