Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV6


	Francesco Maestrelli		Alejandro Moro Canas

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.86	1.85	Watch
	1.98	1.89
	1.96	1.80	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.88	1.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.84)	1.84 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Maestrelli
49.4%

Alejandro Moro Canas
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Maestrelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Alejandro Moro Canas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Francesco Maestrelli - Alejandro Moro Canas Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Maestrelli will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Moro Canas will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Moro Canas (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 178. Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 257.

Maestrelli has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Moro Canas is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Maestrelli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Francesco Maestrelli - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 49.95%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Challenger
01.08.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Antoine Escoffier	2:0 ✺
31.07.25	Francesco Maestrelli - George Loffhagen	2:0 ✺
29.07.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Tiago Torres	2:1 ✺
21.07.25	Mika Brunold - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
11.07.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Elmer Moller	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWLL
- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Challenger
01.08.25	Henrique Rocha - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
30.07.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Martin Landaluce	2:1 ✺
28.07.25	Jie Cui - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.07.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Joao Graca	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.07.25	Edas Butvilas - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
18.06.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Francesco Maestrelli	0:2
31.01.23	Alejandro Moro Canas - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0

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