Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto, hard - Final

Date: 3 August 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV6


	Moez Echargui		Francesco Maestrelli

	1	2
	2.5	1.4	Watch
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.54	1.56
	2.42	1.52	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.46	1.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.22)	1.52 ↓ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moez Echargui
38.5%

Francesco Maestrelli
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moez Echargui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Francesco Maestrelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moez Echargui than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Moez Echargui - Francesco Maestrelli Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Echargui will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Maestrelli will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Maestrelli: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Maestrelli (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 Games - Maestrelli (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Maestrelli (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Echargui is ranked ATP: 312. Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 178.

Echargui has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Maestrelli is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Maestrelli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Maestrelli is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Maestrelli will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Francesco Maestrelli - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 58.17%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moez Echargui
ATP Challenger
02.08.25	Hugo Grenier - Moez Echargui	0:2 ✺
01.08.25	Moez Echargui - Edas Butvilas	2:1 ✺
31.07.25	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Moez Echargui	0:2 ✺
29.07.25	Khumoun Sultanov - Moez Echargui	1:2 ✺
28.07.25	Moez Echargui - Diogo Marques	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWWW
- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Challenger
02.08.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
01.08.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Antoine Escoffier	2:0 ✺
31.07.25	Francesco Maestrelli - George Loffhagen	2:0 ✺
29.07.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Tiago Torres	2:1 ✺
21.07.25	Mika Brunold - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWL

Moez Echargui - Francesco Maestrelli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide