Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome (Italy) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 6 May 2024, Monday

Referee: Allensworth G. (Usa)


	Francesco Maestrelli		Juncheng Shang

	1	2
			Watch
	2.95	1.36	Watch
	3	1.35	Watch
	3.12	1.38
	2.96	1.37	Watch
	2.65	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.32)	1.38 ↓ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Maestrelli
31.9%

Juncheng Shang
68.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

62%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Maestrelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Francesco Maestrelli's form might have worsened.

Juncheng Shang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juncheng Shang's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Francesco Maestrelli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juncheng Shang than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juncheng Shang, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Francesco Maestrelli - Juncheng Shang Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Maestrelli will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Shang will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Shang could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Shang will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Challenger
01.05.24	Nuno Borges - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
26.04.24	Stefano Travaglia - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
24.04.24	Carlos Taberner - Francesco Maestrelli	0:2 ✺
23.04.24	Francesco Maestrelli - Hugo Grenier	2:0 ✺
05.04.24	Francesco Maestrelli - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWWL
- Juncheng Shang
ATP Madrid
26.04.24	Juncheng Shang - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
24.04.24	Corentin Moutet - Juncheng Shang	1:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
16.04.24	Tomas Machac - Juncheng Shang	2:0 ✺
14.04.24	Juncheng Shang - Hugo Grenier	2:0 ✺
13.04.24	Juncheng Shang - Abedallah Shelbayh	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLWW

Francesco Maestrelli - Juncheng Shang: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide