Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona (Spain) - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday

Referee: Messina M. (Ita)


	Juncheng Shang		Hugo Grenier

	1	2
			Watch
	1.26	3.6	Watch
	1.22	3.8	Watch
	1.26	3.99
	1.26	3.99
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.25	3.76	Watch
	1.25	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.4)	3.74 ↑ (2.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juncheng Shang
74.9%

Hugo Grenier
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juncheng Shang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juncheng Shang's performance.

Hugo Grenier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hugo Grenier might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juncheng Shang than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juncheng Shang that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Grenier than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hugo Grenier could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Juncheng Shang - Hugo Grenier Predictions

Users Predictions: Juncheng Shang will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Shang could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Shang is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juncheng Shang
ATP Barcelona
13.04.24	Juncheng Shang - Abedallah Shelbayh	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.04.24	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Juncheng Shang	2:1 ✺
09.04.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - Juncheng Shang	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.24	Juncheng Shang - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
20.03.24	Miomir Kecmanovic - Juncheng Shang	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWLW
- Hugo Grenier
ATP Barcelona
13.04.24	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Hugo Grenier	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.04.24	Hugo Grenier - Marc-Andrea Huesler	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
19.03.24	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Hugo Grenier	2:0 ✺
18.03.24	Hugo Grenier - Thanasi Kokkinakis	Kokkinakis T. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
11.03.24	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Hugo Grenier	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLL?L

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