Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 5, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 April 2025, Wednesday


	Francesco Maestrelli		Liam Broady

	1	2
			Watch
	1.98	1.72
	2.06	1.71
			Watch
	2	1.73
	2.01	1.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.36)	1.72 ↑ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Maestrelli
46%

Liam Broady
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

63.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Maestrelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francesco Maestrelli's performance.

Liam Broady has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Liam Broady might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francesco Maestrelli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liam Broady than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Liam Broady could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Francesco Maestrelli - Liam Broady Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 296. Broady is ranked ATP: 631.

Recent matches Maestrelli is playing shaky (in the last 5 games, wins - 3).

Broady is in first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games, wins - 4).

Broady could have advantage in physical - more days for rest in last days.

Broady will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction is that Broady will win today's game, with odds 1.55.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Maestrelli
ITF Tournaments
29.04.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Chirag Duhan	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.04.25	Matteo Gigante - Francesco Maestrelli	2:1 ✺
23.04.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Lorenzo Carboni	2:1 ✺
21.04.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Henri Squire	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Andrea Picchione	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWWL
- Liam Broady
ITF Tournaments
29.04.25	Marco Furlanetto - Liam Broady	0:2 ✺
23.04.25	Liam Broady - Nicholas David Ionel	1:2 ✺
30.03.25	Liam Broady - Iannis Miletich	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Filippo Romano - Liam Broady	0:2 ✺
28.03.25	Lucas Bouquet - Liam Broady	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWWW

Francesco Maestrelli - Liam Broady: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide