Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rome, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 April 2025, Friday


	Matteo Gigante		Francesco Maestrelli

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.42	2.6	Watch
	1.46	2.85
	1.46	2.68	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.44	2.66	Watch
	1.42	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.57)	2.63 ↑ (2.26)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Gigante
64.5%

Francesco Maestrelli
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Gigante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matteo Gigante's performance.

Francesco Maestrelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francesco Maestrelli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Gigante than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Matteo Gigante - Francesco Maestrelli Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gigante (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Matteo Gigante will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gigante is ranked ATP: 195. Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 296.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Gigante could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gigante will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Gigante won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Gigante
ATP Challenger
23.04.25	Matteo Gigante - Kimmer Coppejans	2:1 ✺
22.04.25	Matteo Gigante - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1 ✺
15.04.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Matteo Gigante	2:0 ✺
10.04.25	Matteo Gigante - Vitaliy Sachko	1:2 ✺
07.04.25	Matteo Gigante - Pietro Orlando Fellin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLLW
- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Challenger
23.04.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Lorenzo Carboni	2:1 ✺
21.04.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Henri Squire	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Andrea Picchione	0:2 ✺
01.04.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Vitaliy Sachko	0:2 ✺
31.03.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Matthew Dellavedova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
15.05.24	Matteo Gigante - Francesco Maestrelli	0:2
24.02.24	Francesco Maestrelli - Matteo Gigante	0:2
20.01.23	Matteo Gigante - Francesco Maestrelli	1:2
20.06.22	Matteo Gigante - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0

Matteo Gigante - Francesco Maestrelli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide