Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Istanbul 3, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 September 2026, Tuesday


	Francesco Maestrelli		Juan Pablo Ficovich

	1	2
			Watch
	1.36	2.90
	1.43	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.96
	1.4	2.7	Watch
	1.38	2.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 (1.4)	2.82 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Maestrelli
66.9%

Juan Pablo Ficovich
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Maestrelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Juan Pablo Ficovich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Ficovich than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Francesco Maestrelli - Juan Pablo Ficovich Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 168. Ficovich is ranked ATP: 379.

The current form of both players is below expectations.

Maestrelli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Maestrelli is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Francesco Maestrelli - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 65.85%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Juan Pablo Ficovich - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.15%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP US Open
24.08.26	Toby Samuel - Francesco Maestrelli	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.08.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Alexei Popyrin	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.07.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	1:2 ✺
28.07.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLLLW
- Juan Pablo Ficovich
ATP Challenger
01.09.26	Pol Martin Tiffon - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:0 ✺
26.08.26	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Miguel Tobon	0:2 ✺
25.08.26	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Evan Zhu	2:1 ✺
18.08.26	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:0 ✺
20.07.26	Mert Alkaya - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWLL

Francesco Maestrelli - Juan Pablo Ficovich: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide