Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Villena, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday


	Francesco Maestrelli		Oliver Tarvet

	1	2
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	3.30	1.28	Watch
	3.6	1.22	Watch
	3.53	1.25	Watch
	1.37	2.95
	3.41	1.27	Watch
	3.6	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (2.94)	1.49 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Francesco Maestrelli
31.6%

Oliver Tarvet
68.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

68.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

66.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Maestrelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Oliver Tarvet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliver Tarvet than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Francesco Maestrelli - Oliver Tarvet Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 171., and Tarvet is ranked ATP: 307..

Maestrelli has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Tarvet is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Maestrelli could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Tarvet carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Our forecast points to a victory for Tarvet in today's match, at odds of 1.35.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Francesco Maestrelli - the odds 2.94 are the expected chance of winning is 31.31%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Challenger
21.09.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Francesco Maestrelli	2:1 ✺
18.09.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	0:2 ✺
17.09.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	2:1 ✺
16.09.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Arthur Nagel	2:0 ✺
11.09.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Maks Kasnikowski	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWWL
- Oliver Tarvet
ATP Challenger
05.10.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Oliver Tarvet	0:2 ✺
04.10.26	Mathys Erhard - Oliver Tarvet	0:2 ✺
28.08.26	Charles Broom - Oliver Tarvet	2:1 ✺
27.08.26	Oliver Tarvet - Emile Hudd	2:0 ✺
26.08.26	Oliver Tarvet - Oliver Bonding	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLWW

Upcoming Matches