Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brasov, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 July 2025, Tuesday


	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves		Francesco Maestrelli

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.75	1.95	Watch
	1.76	1.95	Watch
	1.69	2.21
			Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.76	1.97	Watch
	1.76	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.5)	2.02 ↓ (2.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
53.8%

Francesco Maestrelli
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves's form might have worsened.

Francesco Maestrelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francesco Maestrelli's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Francesco Maestrelli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Francesco Maestrelli Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Meligeni will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Maestrelli will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Meligeni (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Meligeni is ranked ATP: 147. Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 242.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Meligeni may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Meligeni won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
ATP Wimbledon
25.06.25	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
23.06.25	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.25	Henri Squire - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.05.25	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Elias Ymer	Meligeni Alves F. retired ✺
ATP Roma
05.05.25	Marton Fucsovics - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWL??
- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Wimbledon
23.06.25	Christian Garin - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.06.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
18.06.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Francesco Maestrelli	0:2 ✺
17.06.25	Michael Geerts - Francesco Maestrelli	1:2 ✺
10.06.25	Francesco Maestrelli - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.05.24	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Francesco Maestrelli	2:1

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