Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tenerife, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 February 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tenerife 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Francesco Maestrelli		Mathys Erhard

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Francesco Maestrelli
72.2%

Mathys Erhard
27.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

72.9%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Maestrelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Mathys Erhard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +4.5 Games - Erhard (1.74) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Erhard (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 141. Erhard is ranked ATP: 333.

Maestrelli is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Erhard has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Erhard may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Maestrelli is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Maestrelli won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Australian Open
21.01.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Novak Djokovic	0:3 ✺
19.01.26	Terence Atmane - Francesco Maestrelli	2:3 ✺
14.01.26	Dusan Lajovic - Francesco Maestrelli	1:2 ✺
13.01.26	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Francesco Maestrelli	0:2 ✺
12.01.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Francesco Maestrelli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LWWWW
- Mathys Erhard
ATP Challenger
29.01.26	Mathys Erhard - Inaki Montes De La Torre	0:2 ✺
27.01.26	Mathys Erhard - Kaichi Uchida	2:0 ✺
26.01.26	Eero Vasa - Mathys Erhard	1:2 ✺
25.01.26	Francisco Rocha - Mathys Erhard	0:2 ✺
19.01.26	Henri Squire - Mathys Erhard	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWWL

ATP Challenger
22.08.23	Mathys Erhard - Francesco Maestrelli	2:1

Francesco Maestrelli - Mathys Erhard