Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	23:40	ESPN
Belgium	03:40	HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	03:40	HBO Max
Brazil	23:40	ESPN
Bulgaria	04:40	HBO Max
Canada	21:40	RDS App
Colombia	21:40	ESPN
Croatia	03:40	HBO Max
Czech Republic	03:40	HBO Max
Denmark	03:40	HBO Max
Finland	04:40	HBO Max
France	03:40	HBO Max
Hungary	03:40	HBO Max
Mexico	20:40	ESPN
Moldova	04:40	HBO Max
Montenegro	03:40	HBO Max
Morocco	03:40	2M National
Netherlands	03:40	HBO Max
New Zealand	15:40	Sky Sport NOW
North Macedonia	03:40	HBO Max
Norway	03:40	HBO Max
Peru	21:40	ESPN
Poland	03:40	HBO Max
Romania	04:40	HBO Max
Serbia	03:40	HBO Max
Slovenia	03:40	HBO Max
Spain	03:40	HBO Max
Sweden	03:40	HBO Max
United Kingdom	02:40	Discovery+
Usa	21:40	ESPN USA
Venezuela	22:40	ESPN


	Francesco Maestrelli		Novak Djokovic

	1	2
	29	1.01	Watch
	18	1.01	Watch
	18.57	1	Watch
	15	1.02
	26	1.01	Watch
	17	1.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	20.6 ↑ (15.94)	1.01 ↓ (1.01)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Maestrelli
4.7%

Novak Djokovic
95.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

94%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Maestrelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Novak Djokovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Francesco Maestrelli - Novak Djokovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Maestrelli will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Djokovic will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Djokovic (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 28 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2.5 Sets - Maestrelli (3.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Djokovic (1.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Maestrelli (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Djokovic (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 141. Djokovic is ranked ATP: 4.

Maestrelli is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Maestrelli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Djokovic is the undisputed favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Australian Open
19.01.26	Terence Atmane - Francesco Maestrelli	2:3 ✺
14.01.26	Dusan Lajovic - Francesco Maestrelli	1:2 ✺
13.01.26	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Francesco Maestrelli	0:2 ✺
12.01.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Francesco Maestrelli	0:2 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
03.01.26	Yi Zhou - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWWWL
- Novak Djokovic
ATP Australian Open
19.01.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Novak Djokovic	0:3 ✺
ATP World Tour Finals
11.11.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Novak Djokovic	N/A
11.11.25	Novak Djokovic - Alex De Minaur	N/A
10.11.25	Novak Djokovic - Taylor Harry Fritz	N/A ✺
ATP Athens
08.11.25	Novak Djokovic - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 W???W

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Novak Djokovic
ATP Paris
02.11.26	Novak Djokovic - Valentin Vacherot	✺

Francesco Maestrelli - Novak Djokovic