Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Morocco	2M National
Netherlands	HBO Max
New-zealand	Sky Sport NOW
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+
Usa	ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Francesco Maestrelli		Novak Djokovic

	1	2
	29	1.01	Watch
	18	1.01	Watch
	18.57	1	Watch
	15	1.02
	26	1.01	Watch
	17	1.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	20.6 ↑ (15.94)	1.01 ↓ (1.01)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Maestrelli
4.7%

Novak Djokovic
95.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

94%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Maestrelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Novak Djokovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Francesco Maestrelli - Novak Djokovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Maestrelli will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Djokovic will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Djokovic (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 28 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2.5 Sets - Maestrelli (3.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Djokovic (1.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Maestrelli (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Djokovic (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 141. Djokovic is ranked ATP: 4.

Maestrelli is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Maestrelli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Djokovic is the undisputed favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Australian Open
19.01.26	Terence Atmane - Francesco Maestrelli	2:3 ✺
14.01.26	Dusan Lajovic - Francesco Maestrelli	1:2 ✺
13.01.26	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Francesco Maestrelli	0:2 ✺
12.01.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Francesco Maestrelli	0:2 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
03.01.26	Yi Zhou - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWWWL
- Novak Djokovic
ATP Australian Open
19.01.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Novak Djokovic	0:3 ✺
ATP World Tour Finals
11.11.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Novak Djokovic	N/A
11.11.25	Novak Djokovic - Alex De Minaur	N/A
10.11.25	Novak Djokovic - Taylor Harry Fritz	N/A ✺
ATP Athens
08.11.25	Novak Djokovic - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 W???W

Francesco Maestrelli - Novak Djokovic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide