Match Info

Date: 25 August 2022, Thursday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York)


	Francesco Passaro		Hugo Grenier

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.55	1.5
	2.45	1.51
	2.47	1.57
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.52	1.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.64)	1.51 ↑ (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Passaro
37.7%

Hugo Grenier
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

67.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Passaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Hugo Grenier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francesco Passaro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Grenier than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hugo Grenier could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Francesco Passaro - Hugo Grenier Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Passaro will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Grenier will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grenier: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Passaro is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Grenier is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Grenier will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Grenier to win the game is with odds 1.51.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Passaro
ATP US Open
23.08.22	Marc Polmans - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.07.22	Francesco Passaro - Andrea Vavassori	0:2 ✺
26.07.22	Francesco Passaro - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:1 ✺
24.07.22	Francesco Passaro - Zhizhen Zhang	2:1 ✺
23.07.22	Francesco Passaro - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWWW
- Hugo Grenier
ATP US Open
23.08.22	Giulio Zeppieri - Hugo Grenier	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.07.22	Hugo Grenier - Constant Lestienne	2:0 ✺
30.07.22	Ugo Humbert - Hugo Grenier	1:2 ✺
29.07.22	Hugo Grenier - Gregoire Barrere	2:0 ✺
27.07.22	Hugo Grenier - Nicola Kuhn	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWWW

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