Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: INDIAN WELLS (USA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 6 March 2023, Monday


	Francesco Passaro		Mitchell Krueger

	1	2
			Watch
	1.9	1.85
	1.93	1.83
	1.92	1.85
	1.93	1.91
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.9	1.83	Watch
	1.91	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.68)	1.84 ↓ (2.14)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Passaro
49%

Mitchell Krueger
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Passaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Francesco Passaro's form might have worsened.

Mitchell Krueger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mitchell Krueger's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Francesco Passaro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mitchell Krueger than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mitchell Krueger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.8%	0%	79.2%

Francesco Passaro - Mitchell Krueger Predictions

Users Predictions: Mitchell Krueger will win (19 of 24 users predict this - 79.17%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.92% – 95.42%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Passaro is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Krueger is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Passaro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Passaro
ATP Dubai
28.02.23	Francesco Passaro - Mikael Ymer	0:2 ✺
26.02.23	Alexandar Lazarov - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
25.02.23	Yuki Bhambri - Francesco Passaro	Bhambri Y. retired ✺
ATP Doha
18.02.23	Francesco Passaro - Damir Dzumhur	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.02.23	Francesco Passaro - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LL?LL
- Mitchell Krueger
ATP Challenger
01.03.23	Aleksandar Vukic - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
28.02.23	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Mitchell Krueger	0:2 ✺
25.02.23	Nuno Borges - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
24.02.23	Mitchell Krueger - Bernard Tomic	Tomic B. retired ✺
23.02.23	Guido Andreozzi - Mitchell Krueger	Andreozzi G. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWL??

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