Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Maia (Portugal), clay (indoor) - Final

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV2


	Francesco Passaro		Damir Dzumhur

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.7	2.03	Watch
	1.85	2.02
	1.94	1.9	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.74	2	Watch
	1.7	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.83)	2 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Passaro
53.2%

Damir Dzumhur
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Passaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Damir Dzumhur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damir Dzumhur than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	0%	54.5%

Francesco Passaro - Damir Dzumhur Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Passaro will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Dzumhur will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dzumhur: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Passaro is ranked ATP: 114. Dzumhur is ranked ATP: 106.

At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.

Dzumhur could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Passaro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Damir Dzumhur - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Passaro
ATP Challenger
30.11.24	Andrej Martin - Francesco Passaro	1:2 ✺
29.11.24	Francesco Passaro - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
28.11.24	Francesco Passaro - Vilius Gaubas	2:1 ✺
26.11.24	Francesco Passaro - Maxime Janvier	2:0 ✺
19.11.24	Francesco Passaro - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWL
- Damir Dzumhur
ATP Challenger
30.11.24	Damir Dzumhur - Federico Coria	2:0 ✺
28.11.24	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
27.11.24	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Damir Dzumhur	1:2 ✺
20.11.24	Abedallah Shelbayh - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
19.11.24	Javier Barranco Cosano - Damir Dzumhur	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Doha
18.02.23	Francesco Passaro - Damir Dzumhur	1:2
ATP Challenger
01.09.22	Damir Dzumhur - Francesco Passaro	0:2

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