Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Munich (Germany), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 April 2024, Monday

Referee: Murphy F. (Irl)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Francesco Passaro		Rudolf Molleker

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.75	2.05
	1.8	2.1
	1.81	2.1
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.74	2.12	Watch
	1.78	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.17)	2.07 ↑ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Passaro
53.9%

Rudolf Molleker
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Passaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francesco Passaro's performance.

Rudolf Molleker has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rudolf Molleker might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francesco Passaro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rudolf Molleker than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rudolf Molleker could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
59.1%	0%	40.9%

Francesco Passaro - Rudolf Molleker Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Passaro will win (votes: 13 - 59.1%). Molleker will win (votes: 9 - 40.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Passaro: 38.6% – 79.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Molleker could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Passaro
ATP Munich
14.04.24	Andrea Pellegrino - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
13.04.24	Yannik Kelm - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.04.24	Francesco Passaro - Vitaliy Sachko	1:2 ✺
08.04.24	Francesco Passaro - Guido Andreozzi	1:2 ✺
07.04.24	Francesco Passaro - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLLW
- Rudolf Molleker
ATP Munich
13.04.24	Rudolf Molleker - Henri Squire	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
11.04.24	Mikhail Kukushkin - Rudolf Molleker	2:1 ✺
09.04.24	Nick Hardt - Rudolf Molleker	0:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
01.04.24	Matteo Gigante - Rudolf Molleker	2:1 ✺
31.03.24	Viktor Durasovic - Rudolf Molleker	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 ?LWLW

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