Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: TENERIFE 3 (SPAIN), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 7 February 2023, Tuesday


	Francesco Passaro		Shintaro Mochizuki

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.53	2.35
	1.58	2.32
	1.6	2.37
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.67	2.11	Watch
	1.49	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.4)	2.35 ↓ (2.7)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Passaro
60.2%

Shintaro Mochizuki
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Passaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Francesco Passaro's form might have worsened.

Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shintaro Mochizuki's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Francesco Passaro - Shintaro Mochizuki Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Passaro will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Mochizuki will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Passaro is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mochizuki is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mochizuki could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Passaro will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Passaro
ATP Challenger
01.02.23	Francesco Passaro - Lloyd Harris	1:2 ✺
30.01.23	Francesco Passaro - Yaroslav Demin	2:1 ✺
20.01.23	Mate Valkusz - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
18.01.23	Kaichi Uchida - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
17.01.23	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLWW
- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Challenger
06.02.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Gian Marco Moroni	2:0
06.02.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine	2:0 ✺
02.02.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
31.01.23	Matteo Gigante - Shintaro Mochizuki	1:2 ✺
30.01.23	Miguel Damas - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLWW

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