Match Info

Date: 7 February 2020, Friday


	Francis Tiafoe		Denis Kudla

	1	2
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.43	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.67
	1.43	2.86
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.46	2.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.37)	2.72 ↓ (3.05)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francis Tiafoe
65.5%

Denis Kudla
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Denis Kudla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Francis Tiafoe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Kudla than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Denis Kudla, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.4%	0%	47.6%

Francis Tiafoe - Denis Kudla Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Tiafoe will win (votes: 11 - 52.4%). Kudla will win (votes: 10 - 47.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tiafoe: 31% – 73.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Challenger
06.02.20	Francis Tiafoe - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
04.02.20	Francis Tiafoe - Aleksandar Vukic	2:1 ✺
30.01.20	Denis Istomin - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
29.01.20	Alejandro Tabilo - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
21.01.20	Daniil Medvedev - Francis Tiafoe	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLWL
- Denis Kudla
ATP Challenger
06.02.20	Mitchell Krueger - Denis Kudla	1:2 ✺
05.02.20	Michael Redlicki - Denis Kudla	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
15.01.20	Denis Kudla - Ilya Ivashka	1:2 ✺
13.01.20	Denis Kudla - Bernard Tomic	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.01.20	Denis Kudla - Emil Ruusuvuori	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.02.17	Denis Kudla - Francis Tiafoe	2:0

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