Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Toronto, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 August 2025, Friday


	Francis Tiafoe		Aleksandar Vukic

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.4	2.85	Watch
	1.43	3.05
	1.56	2.45	Watch
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.43	2.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.44)	2.86 ↑ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francis Tiafoe
66.7%

Aleksandar Vukic
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Aleksandar Vukic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aleksandar Vukic than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.3%	0%	22.7%

Francis Tiafoe - Aleksandar Vukic Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Tiafoe will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Vukic will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tiafoe: 59.8% – 94.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Vukic (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Francis Tiafoe will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Tiafoe (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Vukic (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 12. Vukic is ranked ATP: 99.

In recent matches, Tiafoe has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vukic is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Vukic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tiafoe is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tiafoe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Francis Tiafoe - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 65.71%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Toronto
30.07.25	Francis Tiafoe - Yosuke Watanuki	2:1 ✺
ATP Washington
25.07.25	Ben Shelton - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
24.07.25	Flavio Cobolli - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
23.07.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Francis Tiafoe	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.25	Cameron Norrie - Francis Tiafoe	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWWL
- Aleksandar Vukic
ATP Toronto
30.07.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Cameron Norrie	2:1 ✺
28.07.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
23.07.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
21.07.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Aleksandar Vukic	1:2 ✺
19.07.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Andrea Vavassori	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWLW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Almaty
18.10.24	Francis Tiafoe - Aleksandar Vukic	0:2
ATP Challenger
04.02.20	Francis Tiafoe - Aleksandar Vukic	2:1

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