Match Info

Date: 21 October 2022, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
France	beIN Sports, beIN Sports Max
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Portugal	Sport TV
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Francis Tiafoe		Emil Ruusuvuori

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.8	2
	1.8	2.02
	1.8	1.95
	1.93	1.98
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.76	2.11	Watch
	1.87	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.45)	2.01 ↓ (2.52)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francis Tiafoe
52.4%

Emil Ruusuvuori
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Francis Tiafoe's form might have worsened.

Emil Ruusuvuori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Emil Ruusuvuori's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Francis Tiafoe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emil Ruusuvuori than the current prediction. (-15.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Emil Ruusuvuori, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.2%	0%	22.8%

Francis Tiafoe - Emil Ruusuvuori Predictions

Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Tiafoe will win (votes: 44 - 77.2%). Ruusuvuori will win (votes: 13 - 22.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tiafoe: 66.3% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tiafoe is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ruusuvuori is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tiafoe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tiafoe won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Stockholm
20.10.22	Francis Tiafoe - Elias Ymer	2:1 ✺
ATP Tokyo
09.10.22	Francis Tiafoe - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
08.10.22	Soon Woo Kwon - Francis Tiafoe	1:2 ✺
07.10.22	Francis Tiafoe - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:0 ✺
05.10.22	Francis Tiafoe - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWWW
- Emil Ruusuvuori
ATP Stockholm
20.10.22	Emil Ruusuvuori - Jiri Lehecka	2:0 ✺
18.10.22	Emil Ruusuvuori - Joao Sousa	2:0 ✺
ATP Astana
06.10.22	Emil Ruusuvuori - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
05.10.22	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Emil Ruusuvuori	0:2 ✺
ATP Tel Aviv
29.09.22	Constant Lestienne - Emil Ruusuvuori	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Toronto
08.08.21	Francis Tiafoe - Emil Ruusuvuori	0:2

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