Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 8 April 2025, Tuesday


	Francis Tiafoe		Miomir Kecmanovic

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.54	1.5	Watch
	2.7	1.47	Watch
	2.65	1.47	Watch
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.74	1.46	Watch
	2.7	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.03)	1.47 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francis Tiafoe
35.6%

Miomir Kecmanovic
64.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Francis Tiafoe's form might have worsened.

Miomir Kecmanovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Miomir Kecmanovic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Francis Tiafoe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miomir Kecmanovic than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Miomir Kecmanovic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.2%	0%	61.8%

Francis Tiafoe - Miomir Kecmanovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Tiafoe will win (votes: 13 - 38.2%). Kecmanovic will win (votes: 21 - 61.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kecmanovic: 45.5% – 78.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Tiafoe (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Kecmanovic (votes: 7 - 58.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3 Games - Kecmanovic (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Kecmanovic (2.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 8.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Tiafoe (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Kecmanovic (votes: 9 - 64.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 17. Kecmanovic is ranked ATP: 48.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tiafoe won 5.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Kecmanovic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kecmanovic will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Tiafoe won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:2 (average 1.5:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Miomir Kecmanovic - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 54.86%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Houston
06.04.25	Jenson Brooksby - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Brandon Nakashima - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
04.04.25	Alex Michelsen - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
03.04.25	Adam Walton - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
24.03.25	Arthur Fils - Francis Tiafoe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWWL
- Miomir Kecmanovic
ATP Miami
21.03.25	Casper Ruud - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
19.03.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Miomir Kecmanovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.03.25	Damir Dzumhur - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:0 ✺
13.03.25	Roberto Cid Subervi - Miomir Kecmanovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.25	Miomir Kecmanovic - Tallon Griekspoor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Hong Kong
03.01.24	Francis Tiafoe - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:0
ATP Tokyo
07.10.22	Francis Tiafoe - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:0
ATP Astana
28.10.20	Francis Tiafoe - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:0
ATP Next Gen Finals
09.11.19	Francis Tiafoe - Miomir Kecmanovic	N/A
ATP Miami
23.03.19	Francis Tiafoe - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:0
ATP Challenger
22.01.18	Miomir Kecmanovic - Francis Tiafoe	2:1

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