Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 15 January 2026, Thursday


	Alexander Blockx		Jason Kubler

	1	2
	1.25	3.75	Watch
	1.28	3.3	Watch
	1.31	3.36	Watch
	1.3	3.4
	1.33	3.41	Watch
	1.25	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.47)	3.48 ↑ (2.59)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Blockx
73%

Jason Kubler
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Blockx has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alexander Blockx's performance.

Jason Kubler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jason Kubler might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Blockx than the current prediction. (-15.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alexander Blockx that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jason Kubler than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jason Kubler could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Alexander Blockx - Jason Kubler Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Blockx (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Kubler (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Users Predictions: Alexander Blockx will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Blockx is ranked ATP: 95. Kubler is ranked ATP: 192.

Blockx is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Kubler is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Blockx may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Blockx is considered a favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Blockx
ATP Australian Open
14.01.26	Alexander Blockx - Alex Molcan	2:0 ✺
13.01.26	Alexander Blockx - Marco Cecchinato	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.01.26	Alexander Blockx - Rafael Jodar	2:0 ✺
08.01.26	Alexander Blockx - James McCabe	2:1 ✺
07.01.26	Vit Kopriva - Alexander Blockx	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWW
- Jason Kubler
ATP Australian Open
14.01.26	Jason Kubler - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
12.01.26	Jason Kubler - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.11.25	Jason Kubler - Carl Emil Overbeck	Kubler J. retired ✺
24.11.25	Jason Kubler - Li Tu	2:0 ✺
21.11.25	James Duckworth - Jason Kubler	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WW?WL

Alexander Blockx - Jason Kubler: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide