Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday


	Francis Tiafoe		Yannick Hanfmann

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
			Watch
	1.58	2.4
	1.62	2.42
	1.42	2.72	Watch
	1.6	2.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.44)	2.49 ↓ (2.85)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francis Tiafoe
61.6%

Yannick Hanfmann
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Yannick Hanfmann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yannick Hanfmann than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35%	0%	65%

Francis Tiafoe - Yannick Hanfmann Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Tiafoe will win (votes: 7 - 35%). Hanfmann will win (votes: 13 - 65%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hanfmann: 44.1% – 85.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 Games - Hanfmann (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Yannick Hanfmann will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Tiafoe (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Hanfmann (votes: 7 - 77.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 29. Hanfmann is ranked ATP: 159.

Tiafoe is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hanfmann is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tiafoe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tiafoe is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Hanfmann will win today's game, with odds of 2.49.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tiafoe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Francis Tiafoe - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 66.41%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Tokyo
24.09.25	Marton Fucsovics - Francis Tiafoe	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
13.09.25	Francis Tiafoe - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Francis Tiafoe - Jiri Lehecka	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
29.08.25	Francis Tiafoe - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:3 ✺
27.08.25	Francis Tiafoe - Martin Damm	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW
- Yannick Hanfmann
ATP Shanghai
01.10.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Yannick Hanfmann	1:2 ✺
30.09.25	Yannick Hanfmann - Jason Kubler	2:0 ✺
29.09.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.09.25	Yannick Hanfmann - Eliot Spizzirri	1:2 ✺
26.09.25	Denis Yevseyev - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Stuttgart
12.06.24	Francis Tiafoe - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0

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