Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Quinta do Lago, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 October 2025, Wednesday


	Francisca Jorge		Harmony Tan

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.27	1.59
	2.89	1.35	Watch
	2.26	1.58	Watch
	1.83	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (1.83)	1.59 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisca Jorge
40.7%

Harmony Tan
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisca Jorge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Francisca Jorge's form might have worsened.

Harmony Tan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Harmony Tan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisca Jorge than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Francisca Jorge, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harmony Tan than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Harmony Tan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Francisca Jorge - Harmony Tan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jorge is ranked WTA: 255. Tan is ranked WTA: 248.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jorge won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Francisca Jorge - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Harmony Tan - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisca Jorge
ITF Tournaments
12.09.25	Kayla Cross - Francisca Jorge	Jorge F. retired ✺
11.09.25	Mary Lewis - Francisca Jorge	0:2 ✺
10.09.25	Carol Young Suh Lee - Francisca Jorge	1:2 ✺
05.09.25	Francisca Jorge - Kaitlin Quevedo	1:2 ✺
04.09.25	Francisca Jorge - Urszula Radwanska	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 ?WWLW
- Harmony Tan
ATP Challenger
29.09.25	Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah - Harmony Tan	2:1 ✺
18.09.25	Petra Marcinko - Harmony Tan	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Ines Murta - Harmony Tan	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.09.25	Polina Iatcenko - Harmony Tan	2:0 ✺
09.09.25	Mariella Thamm - Harmony Tan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
16.09.21	Francisca Jorge - Harmony Tan	0:2

Francisca Jorge - Harmony Tan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide