Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 26 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Francisca Jorge		Mia Ristic

	1	2
	1.91	1.8
	1.90	1.85
	1.88	1.88
	1.92	1.93
	1.86	1.9	Watch
	1.87	1.89
	1.85	1.89	Watch
	1.87	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.64)	1.88 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisca Jorge
49.9%

Mia Ristic
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisca Jorge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Francisca Jorge's form might have worsened.

Mia Ristic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mia Ristic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisca Jorge than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Francisca Jorge, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mia Ristic than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mia Ristic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Francisca Jorge - Mia Ristic Predictions

Users Predictions: Mia Ristic will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jorge is ranked WTA: 229. Ristic is ranked WTA: 195.

In recent matches, Jorge has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ristic is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Ristic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Francisca Jorge - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 56.61%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisca Jorge
WTA US Open
24.08.26	Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva - Francisca Jorge	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.08.26	Yufei Ren - Francisca Jorge	2:0 ✺
13.08.26	Hanna Bougouffa - Francisca Jorge	0:2 ✺
11.08.26	Celia Cervino Ruiz - Francisca Jorge	Cervino Ruiz C. Retired ✺
06.08.26	Francisca Jorge - Kira Pavlova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLW?L
- Mia Ristic
WTA US Open
24.08.26	Mia Ristic - Ayana Akli	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.08.26	Rositsa Dencheva - Mia Ristic	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	Mia Ristic - Matilde Paoletti	2:1 ✺
14.08.26	Lisa Zaar - Mia Ristic	1:2 ✺
13.08.26	Zhibek Kulambayeva - Mia Ristic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWW

Francisca Jorge - Mia Ristic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide