Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 September 2026, Monday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Francisco Cerundolo		Alexander Blockx

	1	2
	2.30	1.62	Watch
	2.35	1.57
	2.35	1.60
	2.42	1.64
	2.48	1.57	Watch
	2.35	1.62
	2.32	1.63	Watch
	2.30	1.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (1.67)	1.61 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 38.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Cerundolo
40.5%

Alexander Blockx
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Francisco Cerundolo's form might have worsened.

Alexander Blockx has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexander Blockx's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+18.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Francisco Cerundolo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Blockx than the current prediction. (-18.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexander Blockx, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Francisco Cerundolo - Alexander Blockx Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Blockx will win (votes: 11 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Blockx: 100% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 7.5 Games, 1st Set - over (1.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +6.5 Games - Cerundolo (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 Sets - over (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerundolo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 25. Blockx is ranked ATP: 34.

Cerundolo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Blockx is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Blockx will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Blockx will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cerundolo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Francisco Cerundolo - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 57.51%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Alexander Blockx - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 42.49%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP US Open
05.09.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Francisco Cerundolo	2:3 ✺
03.09.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Francisco Cerundolo	2:3 ✺
01.09.26	Filip Misolic - Francisco Cerundolo	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.26	Nuno Borges - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
05.08.26	Alex Michelsen - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWLL
- Alexander Blockx
ATP US Open
05.09.26	Alexander Blockx - Flavio Cobolli	3:1 ✺
03.09.26	Alexander Blockx - Marco Trungelliti	3:1 ✺
31.08.26	Alexander Blockx - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	3:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.26	Alexander Blockx - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Alexander Blockx - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP London
15.06.26	Alexander Blockx - Francisco Cerundolo	Canceled
ATP Madrid
28.04.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Alexander Blockx	0:2

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