Match Info

Date: 23 February 2021, Tuesday


	Francisco Cerundolo		Gianluca Mager

	1	2
	1.53	2.37	Watch
	1.65	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.35
	1.53	2.4
	1.69	2.28
	1.62	2.3
	1.65	2.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.43)	2.31 ↓ (2.76)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Cerundolo
59%

Gianluca Mager
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Francisco Cerundolo's form might have worsened.

Gianluca Mager has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gianluca Mager's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Francisco Cerundolo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gianluca Mager than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gianluca Mager, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.9%	0%	66.1%

Francisco Cerundolo - Gianluca Mager Predictions

Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 20 - 33.9%). Mager will win (votes: 39 - 66.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mager: 54% – 78.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

In the last matches we may see a scene of defeats of two players.

Mager could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Mager will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Challenger
21.02.21	Francisco Cerundolo - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
20.02.21	Alejandro Tabilo - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
19.02.21	Francisco Cerundolo - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:0 ✺
17.02.21	Nicolas Jarry - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
15.02.21	Francisco Cerundolo - Andrea Collarini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWWW
- Gianluca Mager
ATP Australian Open
07.02.21	Gianluca Mager - Aslan Karatsev	0:3 ✺
ATP Melbourne Great Ocean Road Open
01.02.21	Jordan Thompson - Gianluca Mager	2:1 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
11.01.21	Catherine Harrison - Gianluca Mager	2:0 ✺
09.01.21	Gianluca Mager - Sam Querrey	2:0 ✺
07.01.21	Gianluca Mager - Ryan Harrison	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLLWW

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