Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 11


	Alejandro Tabilo		Francisco Cerundolo

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.34	1.61	Watch
	2.38	1.65
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.38	1.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.35)	1.62 ↑ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Tabilo
41%

Francisco Cerundolo
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

64.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Francisco Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alejandro Tabilo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francisco Cerundolo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Alejandro Tabilo - Francisco Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Tabilo will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Cerundolo will win (votes: 12 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerundolo: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Francisco Cerundolo will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tabilo is ranked ATP: 35. Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 27.

Tabilo is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Cerundolo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tabilo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Cerundolo could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tabilo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Alejandro Tabilo - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.74%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Roma
06.05.26	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.05.26	Zizou Bergs - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Ethan Quinn - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
01.05.26	Ignacio Buse - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
30.04.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWW
- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Madrid
28.04.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Alexander Blockx	0:2 ✺
27.04.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
ATP Munich
17.04.26	Alexander Zverev - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
16.04.26	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cordoba
01.02.22	Alejandro Tabilo - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0
ATP Challenger
20.02.21	Alejandro Tabilo - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2

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