What is the expert prediction for Alejandro Tabilo vs Francisco Cerundolo?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Alejandro Tabilo vs Francisco Cerundolo. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Alejandro Tabilo vs Francisco Cerundolo Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Friday, May 08, 2026)

Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 11


	Alejandro Tabilo		Francisco Cerundolo

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.34	1.61	Watch
	2.38	1.65
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.3	1.62
	2.38	1.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.35)	1.62 ↑ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Tabilo
41%

Francisco Cerundolo
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

64.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Francisco Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alejandro Tabilo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francisco Cerundolo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Tabilo will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Cerundolo will win (votes: 12 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerundolo: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Francisco Cerundolo will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tabilo is ranked ATP: 35. Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 27.

Tabilo is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Cerundolo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tabilo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Cerundolo could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tabilo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

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Last Results with these Odds

Alejandro Tabilo - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.74%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Francisco Cerundolo - the odds 1.55 are the expected chance of winning is 60.26%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Roma
06.05.26	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.05.26	Zizou Bergs - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Ethan Quinn - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
01.05.26	Ignacio Buse - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
30.04.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWW
- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Madrid
28.04.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Alexander Blockx	0:2 ✺
27.04.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
ATP Munich
17.04.26	Alexander Zverev - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
16.04.26	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cordoba
01.02.22	Alejandro Tabilo - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0
ATP Challenger
20.02.21	Alejandro Tabilo - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2

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