Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Buenos Aires (Argentina), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 February 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
Poland	Polsat Sport 2
Sweden	TV4 Play


	Lorenzo Musetti		Pedro Martinez Portero

	1	2
	1.33	3.4	Watch
	1.31	3.4
	1.32	3.72
	1.35	3.23	Watch
	1.33	3.3	Watch
	1.31	3.46	Watch
	1.31	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.4)	3.42 ↑ (2.96)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Musetti
72.1%

Pedro Martinez Portero
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Pedro Martinez Portero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Lorenzo Musetti - Pedro Martinez Portero Predictions

Users Predictions: Lorenzo Musetti will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Musetti is ranked ATP: 16. Martinez Portero is ranked ATP: 41.

Recent matches Musetti is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Martinez Portero is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Martinez Portero could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Musetti is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Lorenzo Musetti - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 67.89%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Buenos Aires
13.02.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Corentin Moutet	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
18.01.25	Ben Shelton - Lorenzo Musetti	3:1 ✺
15.01.25	Denis Shapovalov - Lorenzo Musetti	0:3 ✺
14.01.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Lorenzo Musetti	1:3 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
03.01.25	Jaume Munar - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWWL
- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Buenos Aires
13.02.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	2:0 ✺
12.02.25	Damir Dzumhur - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
07.02.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
06.02.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:0 ✺
04.02.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWLWW

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