Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: London, grass - Final

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Sweden	TV4 Tennis


	Francisco Cerundolo		Tommy Paul

	1	2
	3.00	1.40	Watch
	2.75	1.45
	2.80	1.43
	2.95	1.47
	2.95	1.42	Watch
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.64	1.50	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.52)	1.44 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Cerundolo
33.8%

Tommy Paul
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36%	0%	64%

Francisco Cerundolo - Tommy Paul Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 9 - 36%). Paul will win (votes: 16 - 64%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paul: 45.2% – 82.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerundolo (votes: 2 - 50%). Paul (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 27. Paul is ranked ATP: 28.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerundolo won 4.

Cerundolo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Paul is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Paul may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Paul is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Paul will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cerundolo won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.9:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Tommy Paul - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 62.38%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP London
20.06.26	Brandon Nakashima - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
19.06.26	Arthur Fery - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
17.06.26	Jenson Brooksby - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
16.06.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
15.06.26	Alexander Blockx - Francisco Cerundolo	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWW?
- Tommy Paul
ATP London
20.06.26	Tommy Paul - Ugo Humbert	2:0 ✺
19.06.26	Tommy Paul - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
18.06.26	Tommy Paul - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:0 ✺
15.06.26	Tommy Paul - Jaume Munar	Canceled ✺
ATP Stuttgart
08.06.26	Tommy Paul - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWW??

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
23.03.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Tommy Paul	2:0
ATP Roland Garros
01.06.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Tommy Paul	3:1
ATP Madrid
28.04.24	Tommy Paul - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2
ATP Toronto
09.08.23	Tommy Paul - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1
ATP Eastbourne
01.07.23	Francisco Cerundolo - Tommy Paul	2:1
ATP London
19.06.23	Tommy Paul - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2
ATP Eastbourne
21.06.22	Francisco Cerundolo - Tommy Paul	1:2

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