Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro (Brazil), clay - Semi-finals

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	SporTV 3
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 4
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Francisco Comesana		Alexandre Muller

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.4	1.52	Watch
	2.54	1.58
	2.47	1.56	Watch
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.47	1.55	Watch
	2.4	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.11)	1.54 ↓ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Comesana
38.3%

Alexandre Muller
61.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Comesana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Francisco Comesana's form might have worsened.

Alexandre Muller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexandre Muller's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Comesana than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Francisco Comesana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexandre Muller, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.8%	0%	79.2%

Francisco Comesana - Alexandre Muller Predictions

Users Predictions: Alexandre Muller will win (19 of 24 users predict this - 79.17%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.92% – 95.42%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Comesana is ranked ATP: 86. Muller is ranked ATP: 60.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Muller will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Comesana
ATP Rio de Janeiro
21.02.25	Alexander Zverev - Francisco Comesana	1:2 ✺
19.02.25	Francisco Comesana - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
17.02.25	Gustavo Heide - Francisco Comesana	1:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
10.02.25	Mariano Navone - Francisco Comesana	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.02.25	Francisco Comesana - Hugo Dellien	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WWWLL
- Alexandre Muller
ATP Rio de Janeiro
21.02.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
20.02.25	Alexandre Muller - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
18.02.25	Joao Fonseca - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
10.02.25	Alexandre Muller - Laslo Djere	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.02.25	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWWLL

Francisco Comesana - Alexandre Muller: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide