Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 21 March 2025, Friday


	Francisco Cerundolo		Alexandre Muller

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.54	Watch
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.56	2.41	Watch
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.54	2.49	Watch
	1.53	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.72)	2.47 ↑ (2.13)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Cerundolo
61.7%

Alexandre Muller
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francisco Cerundolo's performance.

Alexandre Muller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexandre Muller might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francisco Cerundolo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexandre Muller could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.8%	0%	90.2%

Francisco Cerundolo - Alexandre Muller Predictions

Users Predictions: Alexandre Muller will win (37 of 41 users predict this - 90.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.16% – 99.32%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 24. Muller is ranked ATP: 41.

Cerundolo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Muller is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cerundolo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Cerundolo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cerundolo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.7:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Alexandre Muller - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 44.68%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Indian Wells
13.03.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
12.03.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Alex De Minaur	2:0 ✺
10.03.25	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Francisco Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
ATP Santiago
01.03.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Laslo Djere	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWWWL
- Alexandre Muller
ATP Miami
19.03.25	Alexandre Muller - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.03.25	Alexandre Muller - Aleksandar Kovacevic	1:2 ✺
14.03.25	Alexandre Muller - Constant Lestienne	2:0 ✺
13.03.25	Alexandre Muller - James McCabe	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.25	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Alexandre Muller	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Rio de Janeiro
21.02.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Alexandre Muller	0:2
ATP Auckland
09.01.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Alexandre Muller	0:2

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