Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro (Brazil), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 February 2025, Tuesday


	Joao Fonseca		Alexandre Muller

	1	2
	1.17	5	Watch
	1.16	4.75	Watch
	1.21	4.9
	1.18	4.69	Watch
	1.22	4.2	Watch
	1.22	4.31	Watch
	1.16	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.39)	4.66 ↑ (3.04)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Fonseca
79.7%

Alexandre Muller
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.5%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Fonseca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joao Fonseca's performance.

Alexandre Muller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexandre Muller might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joao Fonseca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexandre Muller could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Joao Fonseca - Alexandre Muller Predictions

Users Predictions: Joao Fonseca will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

UTRGV will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches UTRGV won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 162:152 (average 81:76).

Including matches at home between the teams UTRGV won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 77:74

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Fonseca
ATP Buenos Aires
16.02.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
15.02.25	Laslo Djere - Joao Fonseca	1:2 ✺
14.02.25	Joao Fonseca - Mariano Navone	2:1 ✺
13.02.25	Joao Fonseca - Federico Coria	2:1 ✺
12.02.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWW
- Alexandre Muller
ATP Buenos Aires
10.02.25	Alexandre Muller - Laslo Djere	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.02.25	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
12.01.25	Alexandre Muller - Nuno Borges	1:3 ✺
ATP Auckland
07.01.25	Alexandre Muller - Jakub Mensik	Canceled ✺
ATP Hong Kong
05.01.25	Kei Nishikori - Alexandre Muller	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLL?W

Joao Fonseca - Alexandre Muller: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide