Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: SANTIAGO (CHILE), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 27 February 2024, Tuesday


	Francisco Comesana		Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2	1.8	Watch
	2	1.78
	2.07	1.83
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.03	1.79	Watch
	2.05	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.42)	1.79 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Comesana
46.7%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

60.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

59.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Comesana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francisco Comesana's performance.

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francisco Comesana than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francisco Comesana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.4%	0%	13.6%

Francisco Comesana - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Comesana will win (votes: 19 - 86.4%). Varillas will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Comesana: 72.1% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Comesana is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Varillas Patino-Samudio has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Comesana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Comesana won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Comesana
ATP Santiago
25.02.24	Francisco Comesana - Roman Andres Burruchaga	0:2 ✺
24.02.24	Francisco Comesana - Ignacio Buse	2:1 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
19.02.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Francisco Comesana	2:1 ✺
18.02.24	Andrea Pellegrino - Francisco Comesana	0:2 ✺
17.02.24	Hugo Dellien - Francisco Comesana	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLW?
- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Santiago
27.02.24	Mariano Navone - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	Canceled ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
19.02.24	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	1:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
13.02.24	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2 ✺
ATP Cordoba
06.02.24	Yannick Hanfmann - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
04.02.24	Nicolas Jarry - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 ?LLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
29.04.22	Francisco Comesana - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2

Francisco Comesana - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide