Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: SANTIAGO (CHILE), CLAY

Date: 27 February 2024, Tuesday


	Mariano Navone		Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio

	1	2
	1.91	1.91
	1.87	1.9
	1.85	1.92
	1.86	2
	2	1.8
	1.98	1.83	Watch
	1.88	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.71)	1.89 ↓ (2.15)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariano Navone
49.8%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariano Navone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mariano Navone's form might have worsened.

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mariano Navone, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Mariano Navone - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Navone will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Varillas will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Navone is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Varillas Patino-Samudio has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Navone could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mariano Navone
ATP Rio de Janeiro
25.02.24	Sebastian Baez - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
24.02.24	Mariano Navone - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
23.02.24	Joao Fonseca - Mariano Navone	1:2 ✺
22.02.24	Mariano Navone - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
20.02.24	Federico Coria - Mariano Navone	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 LWWWW
- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Rio de Janeiro
19.02.24	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	1:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
13.02.24	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	0:2 ✺
ATP Cordoba
06.02.24	Yannick Hanfmann - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
04.02.24	Nicolas Jarry - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
03.02.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Mariano Navone - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide